Coding Intensity, Favorable Selection Fuel MedPAC’s Push for MA Pay Reform

In its latest report to Congress, the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) asserted that the federal government now pays approximately 22% more for Medicare Advantage enrollees than it would if they were enrolled in traditional fee-for-service (FFS) Medicare, for projected higher spending of $83 billion in 2024. That figure came in slightly below projections provided at a January meeting but higher than MedPAC’s previously estimated differences in spending, largely because it accounted for favorable selection. And while the commission said it “strongly supports the inclusion of private plans in the Medicare program,” it maintains that the current payment system is ripe for reform.  

According to MedPAC’s latest Report to the Congress: Medicare Payment Policy, released March 15, the federal government in 2023 paid MA plans roughly $455 billion for serving approximately 31.6 million enrollees — 52% of Medicare beneficiaries with both Parts A and B coverage.