Health Plan Weekly
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Centene Downplays Medicare MLR Miss, Reports ACA Marketplace Growth
Centene Corp.’s results for the fourth quarter of 2023 were largely positive, earning mild praise from Wall Street analysts. While Centene was the latest health insurer to face higher-than-expected Medicare Advantage utilization, executives claimed that the firm’s MA performance was far less worrisome than that of its peers — an argument that analysts seemed to accept.
Centene’s Medicare medical loss ratio (MLR) for the quarter was an eye-popping 95.3%, up from 87.5% in the fourth quarter of 2022, an increase of 780 basis points (bps). According to Jefferies analyst David Windley, that figure was 510 bps above Wall Street consensus projection for Centene’s Medicare book of business. However, during a Feb. 6 earnings call, Centene CEO Sarah London and Chief Financial Officer Drew Asher both insisted that the high MLR figure was not a reason for concern, was not caused by the same factors that drove high MLRs for MA peer firms like Humana Inc., and was accounted for in 2024 guidance.
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Premium Rate Review: A Look at State Authority
Most states have authority to review premium rates for comprehensive, Affordable Care Act-compliant health plans in the individual and small group markets, while only a few have such authority in the large group market, according to an analysis published by the Georgetown University Center on Health Insurance Reforms. Additionally, the analysis found that while a “healthy minority of states” have the authority to question the rates that insurers negotiate with providers and suppliers, many struggle to actually do so.
The ACA, enacted in 2010, established the health insurance rate review program that requires the review and disclosure of “unreasonable” rate increases. As of August 2023, 43 states have authority to review and require changes to or disapprove proposed rates in the individual market, whereas only 26 states had such authority in 2010. Eight states — Arizona, California, Idaho, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Texas and Wisconsin — have authority to require insurers to review proposed rates in the individual market, but they cannot require changes or disapprove the rates. Thirty-eight states currently have prior authority over rates in the small group market.
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MCO Stock Performance, January 2024
Here’s how major health insurers’ stock performed in January 2024. UnitedHealth Group had the highest closing stock price among major commercial insurers as of Jan. 31, 2024, at $511.74. Humana Inc. had the highest closing stock price among major Medicare insurers at $378.06.
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News Briefs: At Least 16.4M People Have Been Disenrolled From Medicaid
As of Feb. 1, at least 16.4 million Medicaid enrollees had been disenrolled from coverage since last April, representing about one-third of people who had applied to have their coverage renewed, according to KFF. KFF said the number of people disenrolled is likely higher “due to varying lags for when states report data.” Of the people who had been disenrolled, 71% were terminated for procedural reasons, meaning they did not complete the renewal process in time. The disenrollment rates ranged from 13% in Maine to 61% in Texas. Overall, states and Washington, D.C., have reported renewal outcomes for 52% of people enrolled in Medicaid, while the remaining 48% of people were awaiting decisions as of Feb. 1.
Dirk McMahon, UnitedHealth Group’s president and chief operating officer, plans on retiring, effective April 1. McMahon joined UnitedHealth in 2003 and has been president and COO since February 2021. UnitedHealth has not named a replacement for McMahon, whose previous roles at the company included CEO of UnitedHealthcare and president and COO of Optum.
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Experts Say Timing Is Right for Cigna to Get Out of Medicare Market
Capping off months of rumors that such a deal was brewing, The Cigna Group on Jan. 31 said it has agreed to sell its Medicare business to Health Care Service Corp. (HCSC). Industry observers say that given the near-term headwinds Medicare Advantage is facing, it’s wise for Cigna to leave a market in which it struggled to compete and focus on more promising growth opportunities.
The $3.7 billion purchase will transfer nearly 600,000 Medicare Advantage members, more than 450,000 Medicare Supplement lives and 2.5 million Medicare Part D lives from Cigna to HCSC, the companies said. The Blue Cross Blue Shield licensee will also acquire Cigna’s CareAllies business, which offers “management services to support value-based care arrangements” and works with providers to form accountable care organizations and independent physician associations.